By F. Martin
TTC Service.- A discrete but intense current scientific search is how to better predict the climate, something that may seem as simple as seeing the climatic information provided by the minute-by-minute television stations around the world, received from the big centers of weather forecast.
Surely in the near future, weather warnings will continue as often as now. What will probably change will be the same climate, its parameters and its consequences due to global warming.
Scientific studies indicate that climate projections will depend on future changes in greenhouse gas emissions. Depending on that problem, forecasts observe that it is difficult to predict exactly how society will react and how intense the threat of climate change climate projections will be now based on a series of different future scenarios. Certainly more complex than what can be seen sitting comfortably before the reporter in a weather report of any newscast.
Precise forecasts are increasingly crucial for the Caribbean region. So last week, climate change professionals met at the George Price Center in Belmopan, Belize to discuss approaches and tools that can be used to analyze and predict weather patterns.
“We have been doing these workshops in the region and what we do is basically teach our technicians in the different sectors: agriculture, coastal development, health and tourism to use the climate information that we are generating to make decisions about how it will be built and how it will work.
We have generated a lot of information about the region in terms of what the future climate would look like, one of the professionals, Ulric Trotz, Executive Director Delegate of Advisor Scienve, told to Belizean local press.
It is likely that in the near futurew the Caribbean region may have more rain, or least rain, or storms will be the strongest.. We are leading people to use that climate information to plan in the future, Trotz added.
One of the tools that the experts already developed allows the prediction of droughts. It is an early warning that rain will not fall when you wait.
It is obvious that more and more accurate forecasts are needed in order to adequately face the climatic changes that cause droughts when rain is expected, great storms out of season and destructive hurricanes.
But, Are meteorology services prepared to forecast the phenomena of climate change?
The world specialists say yes.
Currently, an international climate change monitoring system integrates satellite observations, ground data and forecasting models to monitor and forecast changes in climate.
According to the technological digital publication Climate Tech Wiki, a historical record of point measurements has been created over time, which provides the data to allow statistical analysis and the identification of mean values, trends and variations.
The better the information available, the more the climate can be understood and the future conditions can be more accurately assessed at the local, regional, national and global levels. This has become particularly important in the context of climate change because when the climatic variability increases, the historical patterns change “, added the digital page.
But these experts give some recommendations.
In order for countries to better understand their local climate and thus be able to develop better scenarios to address climate change, they must have adequate operational observing networks and access to data available from other global and regional networks.
These systems allow the integration of national early warning systems, GIS mapping of vulnerable areas, meteorological information on floods and droughts, as well as the mapping of disease outbreaks.
In this way, they provide indicators to monitor the impacts of climate change and facilitate disaster preparedness and adaptation planning to new circumstances.